Last night Long Now Foundation has presented a seminar of the title
Power to Save the
World by Gwyneth Cravens and Rip Anderson. To summary its theme in
one sentence - nuclear fuel is THE magic fuel that will save the world
from destruction.
With the looming risk of global climate change, nuclear power is
making a come back. It is the only
power source that can generate significant power today with minimal
green house gas emission. Note that this isn't an energy corporation
wolf in sheep's clothing trying to push their agenda. This idea is
advanced by many conscientious people and environmentalists, after
weighting the risk and benefit, have considered nuclear power is
preferable to burning coal and the risk of global climate change. This
position also pit them against other unconvinced environmentalists.
There isn't many earth shattering new data coming from the seminar.
It is more of revisiting many fact and data that I already know that
force me to reconsider my opinion. Uranium is a highly concentrated
fuel. Very little of them can generate great deal of power. Coal is
horrendous. Besides the green house gas emission, burning coal throws
out tons of toxic waste, including mercury and some uranium. It is
responsible for serious pollution and a great number of fatalities each
year. And we have to consume tons and tons of coal to fuel our energy
need.
What about the danger? What about the Chernobyl disaster? They are
quick to point out Chernobyl has serious design flaws and was not
enclosed in a concrete containment shell as any nuclear reactor should
have. The only other incident in the 50 years of history of nuclear
power generation is the Three Mile Island accident, which resulted in no
deaths or injuries.
Of course I don't just take his word for granted. The April 2006
issue of National Geographic ran a story on the Chernobyl disaster on
its 20th anniversary. From the article I can validated the direct death
toll was in the tens, much lower than people have feared. It was a
catastrophe nonetheless. But it is a catastrophe those extent has now
been understood. On the other hand, global climate change is an unknown
risk. What will happen if the ocean stop acting as a carbon sink one
day? It could be a catastrophe of epic proportions. It is actually
comforting to understand a worst case scenario than to face some unknow
risk.
Long Now foundation has many stellar presenters in the past. Gwyneth
and Rip are rather old school in comparison. They talk slowly and has
few climax or punch line interspersed. The lack of style is more than
made up by substances. Moreover Rip has used an excellent parable in his
closing, which I will retell here.
Once upon a time the river has flooded and threatened a village.
There was an old man remain in his house. Police has came to his house and asked,
"Do you want to leave in our car?". The old man refused and said "No I am not
leaving in the car. God is going to save me." Later the water has flooded the
streets. A rescue team on a boat has came to his house and asked, "Do you want
to leave in our boat?" The old man has again refused and said "No, I am not
leaving in the boat. God is going to save me." Later water level has raised even
more and the old man was stranded on the roof. A helicopter has came to his
house and asked, "Do you want to leave with us by the helicopter?" The old man
has again refused and said, "No, I'm not leaving by the helicopter. God is
going to save me". So the water keep rising and the man was finally drowned.
Upon his judgement day the old man asked "My Lord, I have
believed in you all my life. Why didn't you come to save me?" The God said "I
have seen you stranded and I have sent a car, a boat and a helicopter to rescue you.
What more do you want me to do?"
Rip then asked, now we have found fuel that contains a lot of energy,
emit no green house gas and has a deposits large enough to last well
into the future. What more are people looking for?
2007.09.15 [future] - comments (0)